Main EventLight Heavyweight
WinnerMagomed AnkalaevConfidence67.5%KO/TKO55.0%SUB24.0%DEC21.0%Market85.7%
Magomed Ankalaev
20-2-1
VS
Magomed Ankalaevby KO/TKO
Bogdan Guskov
18-3-1
AI Deep Research
PEZMMA AIQualitative signals (weight cuts, cardio, camp issues, aging, motivation, etc.) that the statistical model cannot see.
PEZMMA AINot yet generated
Market Analysis
MODEL vs MARKETWhere the model agrees or disagrees with the betting market. A positive edge means the model rates the fighter higher than the implied odds — a potential value spot.
Magomed Ankalaev
Odds-600Market85.7%Model55.5%Edge-30.2%
Bogdan GuskovVALUE
Odds+425Market19.0%Model44.5%Edge+25.5%
Tale of the Tape
Magomed AnkalaevBogdan Guskov
34Age33
6'3"Height6'2"
75"Reach76"
46"Leg Reach41"
n/aWeight Classn/a
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Matchup Analysis
Striking
Magomed AnkalaevBogdan Guskov
3.65Str. Landed / Min4.57
2.59Str. Absorbed / Min4.09
52.0%Accuracy55.0%
56.0%Defense44.0%
Grappling
Magomed AnkalaevBogdan Guskov
0.79TD Avg / 15 min0.00
22.0%TD Accuracy0.0%
87.0%TD Defense57.0%
0.00Sub Avg / 15 min0.70